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印度今年以來股市表現優秀

2021年09月15日

今年第二季,印度疫苗生產提速,加上疫苗施打效率增加,同時經濟反彈快速,帶領印度股市向上。當中,印度SENSEX指數今年來上漲約兩成,表現大幅優於亞洲其他主要股市。而隨著疫情穩定,印度很多經濟數據已由谷底反彈,並且按年由負轉正。

印度今年以來股市表現優秀

今年第二季,印度疫苗生產提速,加上疫苗施打效率增加,同時經濟反彈快速,帶領印度股市向上。當中,印度SENSEX指數今年來上漲約兩成,表現大幅優於亞洲其他主要股市。而隨著疫情穩定,印度很多經濟數據已由谷底反彈,並且按年由負轉正。印度第二季GDP增速達破紀錄的20.1%,主要由於製造業及建造業景氣大幅反彈。

央行實行相對寬鬆貨幣政策

8月初,印度央行的利率會議維持歷史最低的基準利率不變。印度財長表示,目前尚未達到央行回收流動性的階段,且將準時下放資金至地方政府,用來恢復經濟成長動能,印度7月消費者物價指數回落至央行目標範圍內,預期央行將維持寬鬆政策,而利率下跌及流動性改善,料將降低信貸風險壓力。

政府將推出大量刺激經濟措施

8月中,總理莫迪宣布將推動100兆盧比的國家基礎設施計劃,目標是創造就業,並刺激印度經濟。目前此計劃的細節尚未公布,但莫迪表示計劃將增強當地製造業企業競爭力,支持未來經濟增長。

印度股市有力繼續向上

印度企業業績普遍勝市場預期、加上央行實行相對寬鬆貨幣政策以及投資者對財政政策有憧憬,印度股市可望持續吸引外資流入,中線升勢未止。

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