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美國疫情現曙光,利經濟及股市

2021年02月10日

美國至今累計有逾2600萬人感染新型肺炎,逾44萬人死亡,拜登承諾上任100日內為民眾注射1.5億劑疫苗,根據彭博統計,目前美國接種人數已超過確診人數。如疫苗注射如期推進,病毒未再變種,或標誌著生產活動可加快回復正常、推進經濟復甦,支持股市表現。月內公布之核心CPI及PPI、零售銷售等數據,可就經濟復甦進度透出端倪。

美國至今累計有逾2600萬人感染新型肺炎,逾44萬人死亡,拜登承諾上任100日內為民眾注射1.5億劑疫苗,根據彭博統計,目前美國接種人數已超過確診人數。如疫苗注射如期推進,病毒未再變種,或標誌著生產活動可加快回復正常、推進經濟復甦,支持股市表現。月內公布之核心CPI及PPI、零售銷售等數據,可就經濟復甦進度透出端倪。

本月為美國業績期

美國去年全年經濟錄得負增長3.5%,是2009年金融海嘯後,首次錄得年度經濟萎縮,萎縮幅度更是1946年二戰結束以來最大。2月份美企業績或繼續反映去年疫情影響,道指成分股之可口可樂(KO)、沃爾瑪(WMT)、迪士尼(DIS)、家德寶(HD)等均會於月內先後公布業績,左右道指表現。資金暫時仍鍾情科技板塊,有利納指跑出。

美國抗沽空狂潮惹股市波動

值得留意的還有「散戶鬥大鱷」事態發展。散戶與香櫞研究以電子遊戲零售商GameStop(GME)作好淡角力,GameStop股價急速飆升、香櫞研究被迫平倉更要退出沽空界。如散戶狙擊潮持續,美股難免波動。不過只要經濟基調不改,突如其來的波動或造就吸納機會。

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